Who the hell is Adly Mansour?

           Disclaimer: This is intended as Humor.

Adly Mansour, The Interim president of Egypt

When it was announced that Adly Mansour was to become our new interim president, The question on everyone's mind was "Who the flying f**k is Adly Mansour?", mainly because well.... no one knew who the hell he was. Well luckily, Wikipedia came to the rescue...





Here are some of the earlier iterations of Adly Mansour's wikipedia page:

The Original Stub

Absolute Boss

He wasn't even sworn in when this was posted

Apparently he's a homosexual absolute boss

The Homosexual Healer Paladin of Egypt

The Healer Paladin of Egypt... Without the Homosexual part

We now know who Batman really is.

He's also Ironman... Talk about multi-tasking. 

The Snake of the Nile

The Snake of the Nile is A Brony (A Brony is a Bro that likes "My Little Pony")

Egypt: When Logic Fails

For the average spectator on affairs in Egypt, making sense of events and situations tends to be an exercise in futility; as since the majority of average spectators are not "in the loop", the events tend to make little sense.

As a result, people tend to react in one of two ways; emotionally (and that's a topic for another time) or logically. But ah, there's the rub; What about when logic fails?

I argued long ago in a personal post that there is no real logic, and in this case it's even more applicable; for there is no definite uniform "logic" nor exact "guidelines" to achieve a standard definition of logic, as such Logic differs from one person to the next. But for the sake of this post, let us assume that logic is absolute, after all, the very basis of logic and deduction is If A= B, and B = C, then A = C.

But again, I'm not here to discuss philosophy, so let's return to my original question... What about when logic fails?

In regards to Egypt, the "logical" observer attempting to make sense of things, has no choice but to resort to logical deduction, to do so, the observer gathers what information they can , and proceeds to come to a conclusion based on the information provided. But as I stated above, unless the observer is "in the loop" they don't have access to all the information, and as thus they can never really reach the proper deduction unless by absolute chance. Therefore, logic in this case, has failed.

So what's the solution? To deduce as best you can with the info you are able to obtain, and live with your conclusion, right or wrong? To forgo logic altogether and rely purely on emotion? Do you reach the best conclusion you can, and constantly revise it when you obtain new information? Or do you close your brain off, and just rely on whatever you're told? Or do you do something else entirely?

If anyone has an answer to this question, I'd like to know it, but above all think about this before you're too judgmental towards others.

Egypt: Tourism in numbers 1995-2012

A quick breakdown of Egyptian tourism figures between 1995-2012 with some minor notes.

Year	Value	Numerical Difference to pervious year	% difference to previous Year	Notes
1995	2,871,000	0	0.00%
1996	3,528,000	657,000	22.88%
1997	3,656,000	128,000	3.63%
1998	3,213,000	-443,000	-12.12%	Decline thought to be caused mainly by The Luxor Massacre that took place on 17 November 1997, at Deir el-Bahri, an archaeological site located across the River Nile from Luxor in Egypt. In the mid-morning attack, Islamic terrorists from Al-Gama'a al-Islamiyya ("The Islamic Group") and Talaa'al al-Fateh (Vanguards of Conquest), massacred 62 tourists at the attraction, their modus operandi included beheadings and disembowellings.
1999	4,490,000	1,277,000	39.74%
2000	5,116,000	626,000	13.94%
2001	4,357,000	-759,000	-14.84%	Decline believed to be the result of two major events; The start of second Palestinian Intifada (also known as the Al-Aqsa Intifada) and the resulting support protests in Egypt, as well as the Terrorist attacks in the USA on September 11th 2001
2002	4,906,000	549,000	12.60%
2003	5,746,000	840,000	17.12%
2004	7,795,000	2,049,000	35.66%
2005	8,244,000	449,000	5.76%
2006	8,646,000	402,000	4.88%
2007	10,610,000	1,964,000	22.72%
2008	12,296,000	1,686,000	15.89%
2009	11,914,000	-382,000	-3.11%	Decline believe to be the result of three main factors: The Sudan kidnapping In September 2008, in which a group of eleven European tourists and eight Egyptians were kidnapped during an adventure safari to one of the remotest sites in Egypt deep in the Sahara desert and taken to Sudan. They were subsequently released unharmed. The 2009 Khan el-Khalili bombing: In February 2009, the Khan el-Khalili bombing killed a French schoolgirl on a class trip. The 2009 Hezbollah plot: In April 2009, Egypt said it had uncovered a Hezbollah plot to attack tourist sites in the Sinai, causing tension with the Shia group from Lebanon.
2010	14,051,000	2,137,000	17.94%
2011	9,845,000	-4,206,000	-29.93%	Decline caused primarily by the January 25th revolution of 2011.
2012	11,532,000	1,687,000	17.14%

It is worthy to note that while tourism figures have increased in 2012 as opposed to 2010, they are still significantly lower (17.93% less) than 2010. 

To "Legitimacy" Pro-Morsy Supporters

Our Democratically Elected Dictator

Simple Argument to those saying you’re backing Morsy for "Legitimacy" (الشرعية ) , and claiming that the opposition don't respect "Democracy";

What has more legitimacy? The referendum in March 2011 with 77% approval with majority of eligible voters voting, or Morsy's election win of 52% with a smaller percentage of eligible voters voting? (Not even going to mention his round one percentage of 24.86%)

Obviously the Referendum on the Constitutional declaration of March 2011, right?

Ok, now when people voted for the constitutional declaration, they didn't just vote for a timeline of when things will happen, but for the legality of it as well right? I mean after all what is a constitutional declaration but a legally binding transitional constitution with all that it entails including judicial review of constitutionality of laws issued and the legality of bodies formed by those issued laws?

Obviously they voted for it to be their temporary legally Binding transitional constitution.

Now, When the people voted for their president (in this case Morsy), they voted for him based on his status in the Constitutional declaration, that obviously the majority of the population voted for, right?

Of course they did.

Still with me? Good. Now when a president is elected, swears to respect the constitution and/or ratifies that constitutional declaration, it means he agrees with the legality of the constitutional declaration right? He also agrees and does not deny that it's a legally binding document, and the will of the majority of the people right?

Obviously so. Otherwise he would have neither sworn to respect it and follow it, nor ratified it.

So when the "Elected" president turns dictator (or if you don't like that term, issues a unilateral decree), and stops the courts from issuing verdicts on the legality of the constitutional assembly, or the Shura council, And also submits himself above judicial authority, That basically means he's ignoring the will of the majority of the people that voted to allow the Constitutional Declaration of March 2011 to be their legally binding transitional constitution, with all that it entails including but not limited to Judicial review of legality right?

Of course he is ignoring the will of the majority.

So remind me again, how is it Morsy's actions have any form of "Legitimacy" with the majority? How is it a factor of "Legitimacy" again? How are Morsy's actions "Respecting Democracy"?


But I hear you say "The Judges are corrupt! They want to bring Morsy down!" Well...

• Those Judges declared that Morsy won the elections.
• Those Judges supervised every election in which the MB won a majority.
• Morsy does not have a super majority (75% + of votes) in order to legally (or Illegally) claim his unilateral decree of dictatorship to be a popular mandate. 
• Most importantly, Judges cannot judge without the law and facts presented. In other words  if a Judge gives an illegal verdict, it can be easily proven with the facts publicly available on the case. In fact, they STATE clearly which Constitutional Articles/laws and such they based their decision upon. So why are you afraid of them again?

Again I ask, how is it Morsy's actions have any form of "Legitimacy" with the majority? How is it a factor of "Legitimacy" again? How are Morsy's actions "Respecting Democracy"?

Kindly use your brains before they atrophy. 

مصر؛ لقد أتت حرب أهلية

الدكتاتور المصري المنتخب ديمقراطيا 

كما تعلمون جميعا ، لقد قرر مرسي أن يهدى نفسه قوة دكتاتورية خارقة، القرار الذي أدى اللي توحيد جميع القوة الغير متأسلمة ضده 

ونتيجة لهذا ولعوامل أخرى كثيرة، يخشى أن مصر سوف تنزلق الى حرب أهلية ولكن الواقع هو إن حرب أهلية من "الاحتجاجات" أو "حرب الأرقام" قد بدأت بالفعل، لا يوجد أدنى شك في إن الإخوان المسلمين هم الذين بدأوا ذلك.

 مربط الفرس هو دمنهور وأسيوط

جزء من حجة الإخوان هي أن مصر ليست القاهرة، ويعلنون إن إلغالبية التي تدعمهم خارج القاهرة، و لكن حدوث الاحتجاجات في وقت واحد في جميع أنحاء مصر يدحض هذا الادعاء الكاذب

ألحقيقة هي إن الإخوان المسلمين غير قادرين على حشد أعداد كافية لمواجهة الأعداد التي   يمكن لخصومهم حشدها داخل القاهرة بدون الاحتياج إلي جلب مؤيديهم من المحافظات الأخرى

على وجه الخصوص، تتركز قاعدة قوة الإخوان بشكل رئيسي في المناطق الريفية، في حين غالبا تتركز قواعد قوة  معارضتهم في المناطق المدنيه ،و الواقع إن محافظة القاهرة هي أكثر  محافظة مصرية تمدنا

على هذا النحو، تمثل المظاهرات المتفرقة في المحافظات معارك مستقلة في الحرب الشاملة. وتفتقد جماعةالإخوان المسلمين القدرة على حشد أعداد كافية للمحاربة  في القاهرة و باقي المحافظات في نفس الوقت

ونتيجة لهذا فقد دعت جماعة الإخوان المسلمين مؤيديهم إلى التظاهر في المحافظات في اليومين المقبلين، بحيث يمكن الفوز في معارك المحافظات قبل مظاهرة معارضي مرسى الكبرى  في القاهرة يوم الثلاثاء، حتى يتمكنوا من الاستعانة وتجييش قواتهم من المحافظات في معركة القاهرة  "الكبرى"

النقاط السابقة تشرح بوضوح لماذا يحاول الإخوان المسلمون حاليا تدمير المعارضة في دمنهور وأسيوط، التي تعد تقليديا قواعد لقوة الإخوان

إذا نجحت خطة الإخوان المسلمين للفوز في معارك المحافظات قبل يوم الثلاثاء ستصبح نتيجة المعركة الرئيسية في القاهرة محسومة، لأنهم سوف يكونون قادرين على الاستعانة بمؤيديهم من المحافظات و"إظهار" أن لديهم ما يكفي من الدعم في القاهرة لتقترب من اذا لم تتمكن من ان تساوي او تعادل اعداد معارضة مرسى في القاهرة، مثلما حاولوا يوم الجمعة الماضي

انها استراتيجية حربيه جذريه؛ إلى جانب استراتيجية فرق تسد في هذه الحالة، فإنهم يحاولون تقليل قوة وعدد معارضتهم من خلال الاستفادة من من يطلق عليهم تعبير "البلهاء المفيدين" لخلق اشتباكات داخل المعارضة وتقسيمها إلى مخيمات "فلول" و "ثوار"

"نعم، إنها لم تصل بعد إلي ان تكون حرب دموية فعلية، لكن لا يوجد شك إنها "حرب أهلية

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النسخة الإنجليزية موجودة هنا 

Egypt: A "Civil War" is here.

Our "Democratically elected" Dictator

As you all know Morsy has decided to bestow upon himself dictatorial (super) powers, that have united all non-islamist powers against him.

Due to this and many other factors, it is feared that Egypt will descend into Civil war, but the reality is a Civil war of "protests" or "Numbers" has already started, have no doubt the MB (Muslim Brotherhood) are the ones who started it. The keys to this are Damanhur and Assiut.

Part of the MB's Argument is that Egypt is not Cairo, and they proclaim the majority support them outside of Cairo, However simultaneous protests all over Egypt would disprove this false claim.

The fact is the MB are unable to rally enough numbers to counter the numbers their opponents can rally inside Cairo without busing in their supporters from the other Governorates.

In particular, The MB's power base is mainly in rural areas, while their opposition is usually concentrated in urban areas. As a fact, Cairo is the most urbanized governorate of any Egyptian governorate.

As such, protests in each governorate are independent battles in the general war. The MB lacks the ability to rally enough numbers to fight in both the governorates and Cairo simultaneously.

Due to this The MB have called for protests in the governorates in the next two days, so that they can win the battles of the governorates before the major anti-Morsy protest in Cairo on Tuesday, so they can in turn utilize their strength from the governorates in the "Major" Cairo battle.

The previous points clearly explain why the MB are currently attempting to destroy opposition in Damanhur and Assiut, which are traditionally MB strong holds.

If the MB plan to win the battles in the governorates before Tuesday is successful, then by default the outcome of the major battle of Cairo is moot, because they will then be able to successfully rally their governorate supporters and "Show" that they have enough support in Cairo to come close to if not match the Anti-Morsy opposition in Cairo, much like they did on Friday.

It's a basic war strategy. Combined with the divide and conquer strategy; in this instance, they are attempting to decrease the strength and numbers of their opposition by utilizing “Useful Idiots” to create clashes within the opposition dividing them into "Feloul" and "Revolutionary" camps.

Yes, it may not have come down to an actual bloody war yet have no doubt; this is a "Civil War"

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Arabic Version available here 

Coining terms For Current day Egypt

In an effort to ease communication in the wild world of Egyptian politics today, I've decided to coin a few terms:

Nouveau-Feloul Noun

Pronunciation: noo-voh Fe-lool

Definition: Someone who upon seeing the state of post-revolution Egypt decided that the Mubarak regime was much better, blames the revolution for all the ills of society, while having no previous or current personal gain (Financial or otherwise) from the Mubarak/SCAF Regime.

Notes: A Nouveau-Feloul is usually someone was was formerly of the "Kanaba Party", Disappointed Secular minded individuals (Regardless of opinion on the revolution) , Islamophobes , or Contrarians. Their conversion into Nouveau-Feloul is usually due to feeling threatened  (Legitimately or otherwise) by Islamists being in power.


Faux-nadel Noun

Pronunciation: foh-na-dell

Definition:

1. Someone who pretends to be a Revolutionary or Activist, usually on social media, for personal gain or fame while doing no actual work.
2. Someone who pretends to be a Revolutionary or Activist, usually on social media, while being completely or partially against the cause they claim to fight for. 

Notes: A Faux-nadel can be someone cashing in on the revolution in hopes of gaining some kind of financial or material gain, but is usually someone who is playing the role of a double agent intending to discredit or destroy the cause they claim to represent.



Quasi-wan Noun

Pronunciation:  kwah-see-wan

Definition:

1. Someone who pretends to have been pro-Muslim Brotherhood for years for the sole reason that they are now in power, usually claim to have been forced to hide his/her former allegiance out of fear.
2. Someone that supports the Muslim Brotherhood due to ignorance and/or fear of Secularism & Liberalism.   

Notes: A Quasi-wan is usually someone that will side with whoever is in power, but can also be someone that fears Secularism & Liberalism and sees the Muslim Brotherhood as the only force that can prevent both from spreading in Egypt.